As expected, 6th District Congressman Luke Messer is running for U.S. Senate.
This really isn’t much of a surprised for anyone who has spent more than 10 minutes in the state of Indiana. Likely, the bigger surprise was how long it took his campaign to make it official
— Luke Messer (@LukeMesserIN) July 26, 2017
However, with a simple tweet, Messer announced his intentions Wednesday afternoon.
Now, Messer isn’t the only member of Indiana’s U.S. House delegation expected to throw their hat in the ring.
Very similar to Messer, 4th District Congressman Todd Rokita, is also to challenge for the Republican nomination.
Again, much like Messer, it’s more a question of when, not if Rokita will get in the race.
Now, when Messer and Rokita are both officially in the race, they’ll be battling one another for the chance to go up against Indiana’s senior senator, Democrat Joe Donnelly.
While theoretically the race to become Indiana’s next U.S. senator will come down to a race between whatever Republican survives the primary and Donnelly, that won’t really be the case.
The winner of the Republican primary will essentially be the Indiana’s next senator. Donnelly, while a pretty conservative Democrat, just has too much against him.
In 2012, when Donnelly was elected to the Senate, he ran against an extremely weak Republican candidate, Richard Mourdock. Additionally, just weeks before the election, Mourdock said “pregnancy from rape is something God intended.”
As you can imagine this comment got plenty of attention, not only in Indiana, but nationally.
Even with Mourdock being a perennial candidate, running for nearly every office imaginable in Indiana at one time or another, his comment getting national attention, Donnelly still only managed to win election by 4-5 percent.
This isn’t likely to be the case this time.
Indiana is a traditionally red state, Donnelly is a Democrat. Anyone who did not think the Republicans would sink a ton of money to take back this seat, which belonged to Richard Lugar for nearly four decades, is kidding themselves.
On top of all of this, the biggest hurdle to Donnelly’s reelection to the Senate will be the discovery that he profited from shipping American jobs overseas. This is a bad revelation in and off itself, but given the fact that Sen. Donnelly rails against companies for doing the very same thing and well, you’ve got a problem.
Republicans take back Indiana Democrats only statewide seat fairly easy next year.